The Cone of Probability settles on Massachusetts

By adamg on Tue, 10/04/2016 - 11:55am

At 11 a.m., the National Hurricane Center extended its Matthew Cone of Probability to cover all of southern New England for Sunday. Forecasters still say it's too early to say whether we'll get walloped, so we've only raised the French Toast Alert level to Guarded, but we're going to have to spend more time considering the proposal to go to a more liquor-based alert system for this storm.

Topics:

Weather

Free tagging:

Hurricane Matthew

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Comments

my new fave tracker

By SwirlyGrrl on Tue, 10/04/2016 - 12:09pm.

http://interactives.ap.org/2016/hurricane-tracker/

I inventoried and updated my stash of sheltering supplies last weekend, and I was surprised how many other people were doing the same when I went to get water and batteries.

If it ain't Hurricane Matthew, it will be SuperNorEaster Zeus or Extratropical Insinkorator Mayhem or some such. The batteries are good to 2028, supposedly.

Just in time for me to go on

By DPM on Tue, 10/04/2016 - 12:27pm.

Just in time for me to go on a cruise out of NYC sunday. Womp Womp.

ya i know

By cybah on Tue, 10/04/2016 - 12:35pm.

I was gonna take the ferry to the cape Friday and come back Monday. Ummmmm maybe not now. Last time it was stormy, the ferry company didn't run and had buses instead. Friends of mine said it took hours to get off the cape because of traffic. Uh yeah no.

I mean a random Oct weekend

By DPM on Tue, 10/04/2016 - 12:37pm.

I mean a random Oct weekend probably will not have terrible traffic, the ferry does not haul that many people. But relying on the ferry sounds like a bad plan, almost as bad a plan as going on a cruise during hurricane season.

Its Columbus Day Weekend

By cybah on Tue, 10/04/2016 - 12:38pm.

So its a long weekend :-) Lots of people going to the cape.

Oh duh, some people actually

By DPM on Tue, 10/04/2016 - 12:49pm.

Oh duh, some people actually get that day.

Cone of Probability

By anon on Tue, 10/04/2016 - 1:05pm.

If the cone of probability is anything like the cone of silence, we won't get the hurricane. As people of a certain age will remember, the cone of silence NEVER worked correctly. Even the portable cone of silence didn't work. Sorry about that, chief.

Just remember the two basic rules

By roadman on Tue, 10/04/2016 - 1:44pm.

when interpreting weather forecasts. Anything over six hours out is just an educated guess. Anything over twelve hours out is just a guess.

Nope

By anon on Tue, 10/04/2016 - 1:46pm.

Try 3-4 days.

But, hey, you live in 1978, right?

Even then ...

By adamg on Tue, 10/04/2016 - 2:12pm.

As the National Hurricane Center folks will tell you, hurricanes have a one-in-three chance of winding up outside the cone of probability. There were hurricane warnings in Jamaica up through last night, for example.

One in three

By anon on Tue, 10/04/2016 - 2:38pm.

Given that there are two sides to this cone, that means a 5/6 chance of getting a piece of this huge storm.

Possibly more than that, because huge.

We can't talk about the storm here or prepare because of what is happening in Haiti?

Funny how you only seem to notice these things when there is a storm, not because the storm wouldn't matter if it weren't for the intractable poverty.

You are an angry and ignorant troll.