Jose on Sept. 20, at 5:15 a.m., by the GOES 16 satellite.
UPDATE: 10:35 p.m., 9/20. Time to put the Alert back into storage until wintertime - unless Maria decides to cause us some trouble.
UPDATE, 8:45 a.m., 9/20. Well, Jose is here. And then it'll wander a way and sort of meander around out in the Atlantic, which might be a good thing, because it could keep Maria away.
UPDATE, 5:30 p.m., 9/18. Tropical Storm Warning in effect for Hingham and points south.
UPDATE, 6:45 p.m., 9/17: Tropical Storm Watch goes up for Plymouth County and points south:
Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 45 mph
- Emergency planning should include a reasonable threat for strong tropical storm force wind of 58 to 73 mph.
- To be safe, earnestly prepare for the potential of significant wind impacts. Efforts should now be underway to secure all properties.
- Dangerous wind is possible. Failure to adequately shelter may result in injury.
UPDATE, 8 p.m., 9/16: The latest cone of probability shows maybe the Cape getting hit directly, but not the Boston area. Barry Burbank explains why that would still cause some problems - in part due to astronomically high tides, in part due to trees still having most of their leaves.
Jose on the way? "It's never too soon to prepare," the forecaster on Channel 4 just said (8 p.m., Friday). And so we're cranking up the French Toast Alert Center system a little early (yes, the French Toast Alert is designed for winter conditions, but it'll do). After all, we ARE in the Cone of Uncertainty, although it looks like Jose might hit us as a tropical storm (sustained winds of no more than 73 m.p.h.) mid-week. As the National Hurricane Center said in an advisory at 11 a.m. on Saturday:
Jose's track and an expected increase in size will likely lead to impacts along the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts in a few days.
The French Toast Alert System has been developed in consultation with local and federal emergency officials to help you determine when to panic and rush to the store to buy milk, eggs and bread.
Low: No storm predicted. Harvey Leonard sighs and looks dour on the evening news. Go about your daily business but consider buying second refrigerator for basement, diesel generator. Good time to replenish stocks of maple syrup, cinnamon.
Guarded: Light snow predicted. Subtle grin appears on Harvey Leonard's face. Check car fuel gauge, memorize quickest route to emergency supermarket should conditions change.
Elevated: Moderate, plowable snow predicted. Harvey Leonard openly smiles during report. Empty your trunk to make room for milk, eggs and bread. Clear space in refrigerator and head to store for an extra gallon of milk, a spare dozen eggs and a new loaf of bread.
High: Heavy snow predicted. Harvey Leonard breaks into huge grin, can't keep his hands off the weather map. Proceed at speed limit before snow starts to nearest supermarket to pick up two gallons of milk, a couple dozen eggs and two loaves of bread - per person in household.
Severe: Nor'easter predicted. This is it, people, THE BIG ONE. Harvey Leonard makes repeated references to the Blizzard of '78. RUSH to emergency supermarket NOW for multiple gallons of milk, cartons of eggs and loaves of bread. IGNORE cries of little old lady you've just trampled in mad rush to get last gallon of milk. Place pets in basement for use as emergency food supply if needed.
Busy developer type person? Use the French Toast Alert data set to build those state-of-the-art iPhone apps.
Put the French Toast Alert System on your site! Copy and paste the following where you want the alert to show up. It's 124 pixels wide by 126 pixels high:
Become the alert: Buy an official French Toast Alert T-shirt and run around updating your neighbors:
Toastaphon: Toast image derived from this French Toast sammich photo by Bunchofpants.