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The sheriff and the fallacy of the converse

By adamg on Wed, 02/14/2007 - 7:53pm

Larry Davidson is watching Suffolk County Sheriff Andrea Cabral on "Greater Boston," when she claims that half of all Boston dropouts become criminals - based on inmate interviews that show half are dropouts. Davidson reports:

Barbara thinks I'm a geek because I exclaimed, "fallacy of the converse!" as soon as I heard Cabral's claim while we were watching her on TV. ...

He explains why the fact that half of inmates are dropouts doesn't mean that half of dropouts become inmates.

Topics: 
Crime
Free tagging: 
Andrea Cabral


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Comments

By Harris on Thu, 02/15/2007 - 8:46am.

And he even made a table. Larry Davidson, you are a gentleman and a scholar. Next time I'm at the end of the bar at the Cellar, shrieking about petitio principii and collecting dirty looks, I'll think of you.

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