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Election roundup: These are the days number nerds live for

So let's dive right into the numbers from Tuesday: Massterlist provides a map showing which wards Connolly and Walsh won after filtering out the results from the other 10 candidates. Not surprisingly, Walsh was big in Dorchester, Connolly in West Roxbury - but check out how well Walsh did in comparison to Connolly in parts of Roslindale and Hyde Park.

Chris Lovett graphs some numbers, notes turnout this year was lower than in the last open preliminary in 1993, even though we have more voters now.

The city's posted numbers for each precinct, but in PDF, rather than the more easily played-with CSV.

The Dorchester Reporter tells us where the other candidates did well - after first marveling at the Walsh ground game.

Larry DiCara says it was organization and GOTV that carried the day for the two.

David Bernstein considers city-council races, notes the at-large part will probably consist two olds (Murphy and - he's back - Flaherty) and two youngs (Pressley and Wu).

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Comments

Mike Ross Biggest problem was hiring Cayce McCabe he should have known better. Cayce is a plague Massachusetts elections he is 1-7 and the only race he won was becuase there was a third party straw canidate. I like Mike Ross good guy but should have been more politically savvy than to hire Cayce Mccabe. Cayce should find a new hobby and get out of Massachusetts politics

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Of the 1025 registered voters in my precinct, only 78 bothered to vote.

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Too many recent elections and too many reasonable candidates actually depressed turnout.

People around here have voting burnout. And this time there were so many choices that people had a hard time distinguishing them, weren't motivated to go vote against someone they feared might get the nod, or didn't want to "throw away" a vote on a candidate that likely wouldn't make the cut.

I suspect that if there had been only 3 or 4 candidates, people would have been paying closer attention. I'd guess that most people who voted this time around were either part of a particular candidate's base, or someone who's nigh-obsessive about excersizing their franchise (raises hand sheepishly).

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Lo these many years ago when I worked on campaigns, it was pretty easy to see that the people who voted in primaries are also the ones most likely to have a sign out, give a donation, etc. Most people just can't be bothered to pick out the subtler differences between candidates within the same party and so they don't vote in primaries. It doesn't mean there won't be a big turn out in the general election, though, after the candidates have spent time refining their positions in such a way to highlight their differences.

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We already knew it was going to be Walsh vs Connolly. I think more people would have turned out if they knew there was a shot at the number 3 spot.

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I wouldn't have thought this was true until I was talking to someone yesterday evening who said that they didn't know who to vote for so were waiting for fewer choices in the final.

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I'm a poll warden and was not surprised with such a complex ballot and so many candidates that we had an extraordinary number of spoiled ballots. All were due to overvoting.

While I had predicted that before we opened up, I was wrong in figuring it would be among the 19 at-large Councilors. Instead it was for either our district Councilor or the Mayor. Again and again, people voted for two candidates for one or both offices.

Granted the ballot was not the best design. The admonition to vote only for one should have been in larger type and bold. There was a lot to read and people missed the tiny instructions above the list.

Mine (18-16 on Fairmount Hill, Hyde Park) is always a heavy voting precinct. This time we were at 58%, nearly double the city average. We had some clots with backups and otherwise a steady stream, with the last voter running in at about 30 seconds before we closed.

We redirected a few people to their old polling places when they hadn't put in a new reg card after they moved, but nobody was a newbie who wasn't in the system and required a provisional ballot. We didn't have a single inactive voter among 893 all day. In other words, our folk knew what they were doing. That is, all except for how many to vote for in two races. I agree that the large number of likely candidates per race was the key factor.

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What happens with those spoiled ballots? How are they counted?

I don't see any number corresponding to number of overvotes on the posted receipts. They do show many blanks counted on the city council at-large election, which I presume is due to undervoting?

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Don't count the ballot, it's spoiled!

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The short answer is that spoiled ballots go back to City Hall.

All ballots must be counted, recounted, accounted for and returned to Elections. That's as close as a Star Trek Prime Directive as elections officials get.

We count ballots at the start of the day, recording how many blanks we receive. They come to us separated by weight and shrink-wrapped, so a packet of 200 may have 196 or 200 or 203. We have to know. We use a lot of Post-it notes as we work and each substack is counted twice. At the end of the evening, we compare what we've recorded in the check-in and check-out books, which must have identical counts and the same count as the ballot scanner. The counts in various detail go into the clerk's book.

As absentee ballots arrive, we treat those like in-person ones. We count them and see that this matches the Elections marking on their exterior label. We feed those into the scanner too.

If there are provisional ballots throughout the day, we record how many and put each one in its own sealed envelope. Elections researches each the next day to see if it is to be counted.

Each voter can have up to three ballots. When you spoil one, we mark it such and keep it in a spoiled-ballots envelope. If they spoil a third, we feed it in the scanner with the override button. All offices that are not marked badly or over-voted count. The others on that ballot are the same as blank as for as the scanner is concerned.

At the end of the day, the clerk and a minion or two record all ballots in, voted, spoiled, provisional. The warden and inspectors open the ballot box, and remove ballots from the write-in bin (the scanner reads those marked write-in ovals and deposits then separately). Then all other ballots are placed on a table where we look at each to see if there are write-in votes where the voter did not fill in a write-in oval. We aim to honor the intention of voters if it is clear what they meant.

By the bye, most in the write-bin do not have a candidate written in. Others have something less than useful, like MICKEY MOUSE.

Scanned ballots end up in used-ballot envelopes. All ballots except provisional ones go into the big ballot box the BPD officer takes to Elections. The cop takes the provisionals too, but in a separate zippered case (Envelope A in our lingo). That also has the keys to the Automark machine and scanner. Envelope A has the stuff that Elections needs quick access to, including the clerk's and check-in and check-out books. The used ballots and remaining blanks stay in the ballot box for 10 days in case there is a call for a hand recount. We put a plastic seal on the ballot box before the cop takes it, Envelope A and the scanner in its carry case to Elections.

That night, Elections folk remove the memory from each scanner to feed into computers for recording. A scanner printout is in the clerk's book and another remains attached to the scanner as double and triple checks. A third printout is on the polling place wall for candidates' poll checkers to record. It's the night shift.

Like the Monty Python song, this is Every Ballot is Sacred.

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Same at our precinct. I think that a lot of people had the TV press drill into them that the preliminary election would narrow the field to two candidates, so the digit "2" stuck in their minds.

The precinct that I worked at (Inspector) didn't have a district race so for us the spoiled ballots were mostly for the mayoral race. The rest were people who didn't grasp filling in the dot or because they left their reading glasses at home and instead of asking for the magnifying glass we have, or use the automark ballot machine, they tried to wing it, and got the expected results.

Thanks for posting the details of the process.

Most people think we sit there all day just signing people in. Few understand or ever see the behind-the-scenes efforts to set up starting at 6 am and remaining till all counts are reconciled after 8 pm, and all that goes on during the day. While most voters are in and out in a few minutes the majority of the workers are there from dawn till dusk (breaks for meals scheduled) to assure that everyone gets the opportunity to vote and in a timely manner.

It is a sworn position by the way, and while we only work on election day, re-training classes are mandatory every 2 years and the oath renewed.

I think the most moving times for us are when we get a new 18-year old kid voting for the first time and we all congratulate them. And the other time is when we get a new sworn citizen from a foreign land voting for the first time. They are often in tears not only because they can vote, but because it happens in such a smooth and friendly atmosphere. Its things liek this that keep us coming back.

One note on "Provisional ballots" for those who wonder...

A "provisional" ballot is a real cast ballot but is held to the side because we cannot easily verify the person is a registered voter or if that person has not returned their annual city census form that comes every January from Boston. If you are asked to prove your residency (ID or something similar) but cannot produce same, a provisional ballot is used and that person also fills out a voter registration form which travels back to city hall. In this way the person has the opportunity to vote, and the ballot is added in after their residency has been validated.

The reality of course is that provisional ballots will only be counted in the instance of a close race and recount is required. However, the process improves the accuracy of the voter registration list.

And kudos for the election staff that works at City Hall; many of whom will pull a 24-hr day or greater on election day.

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but check out how well Walsh did in comparison to Connolly in parts of Roslindale...

Connolly won pretty much all of Roslindale. Walsh won just a couple precincts and the only one he captured by more than a few votes was Ward 18 Precinct 22 - Which I am sure you would agree is home to some of Boston's most important personages ;) ...but still, just one precinct.

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for both - in precincts where those two combined only accounted for 10-20% of the total vote cast. This is still anyone's race.

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Consalvo did very well in some Roslindale neighborhoods - I wonder how those voters will break. The pro-BTU folks will go Walsh I assume, but I don't know if that's the bulk of Consalvo's appeal.

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Only 24 people in my precinct voted for Walsh. A mere 47 for Connolly. My part of JP heavily favored Arroyo (for whom I also cast my vote). Disappointed parksiders this time around.

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Does anyone have a CSV, or other structured format, of these results? I feel a little silly trying to apply OCR software to a PDF like this.

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Sorry, this isn't an answer, but I've been searching too and am awed by the technology here. Today I found out that the Globe, which published some nice maps today, received the data by fax.

Full steam ahead into the 1980s, Boston!

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Google Spreadsheet

Yeah I broke down and OCRed it.

Oh well.

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Hard to vote anonymously in this precinct. Here's an interesting article about it: phantom precinct

Thanks for putting this together. Has anyone done it for City Council results?

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I'm lazy, but you can have my OCRed raw text, and if you spend some time, then it can be copied and pasted into a spreadsheet.

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If a majority of Hyde Park voters who went for Rob Consalvo or Dan Conley in the preliminary go with John Connolly in the final, this map looks very similar to Menino's victory over Dorchester's Jim Brett in 1993 and the victory of Jamaica Plain's John F. Collins over Southie's John E. Powers in 1959. What was true then is true in 2013: the candidate from the high wards has a stronger base than the candidate from Dot and Southie. (And, no, my name is not Larry DiCara.)

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