Boston now in the Jose probability cone

Jose cone of probability

Let's just keep telling ourselves, "It's no Irma." Plus, of course, it could still miss us completely. Still, we might, maybe, possibly, get tropical-storm-force winds (between 39 and 73 MPH) by Tuesday morning.

Spaghetti cone discussion.



Free tagging: 



If it hits us look for a

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If it hits us look for a photo of an empty grocery store dairy aisle and the headline, "No Whey Jose".

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Wide cone of probability only reflects

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the fact they cannot accurately predict the storm track that far out. So, keep an eye (no pun intended) over the next couple of days as Jose gets closer. But let's not get into a 'stormagedden' panic just yet.

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I mean when was the last time a storm went a few miles west of its expected path ever?

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Of course, at this point, the storm could just as easily

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go to the east of its expected path. Either way, the storm is still far enough away that it really doesn't justify the forecasters and others to whip people into a full blown panic about it yet - yes, I'm looking at the people at Channel 5 who obviously believe that a storm we won't feel the impacts from until at least early Tuesday justifies cutting into other programming with a "Breaking News" alert (which I witnessed in the waiting room of my clinic almost two hours ago).

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I wasn't being serious. I know how this works.

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Bring a Towel

And set aside a couple of hours weekend:

Inventory your storm supplies and replenish/rotate/repair stock
Make a kit of essentials

Even if we don't see Jose, you may be thankful you have your kit squared away when Winter Storm Uranus turns the Northeast into a total icehole this winter. ;-)

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Yes, I keep a kit stocked year round, check it

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before the start of both hurricane and blizzard seasons - including doing any necessary replenishment/repair/etc., and then double check it again in advance of an approaching storm. However, unlike many people around here, I DO NOT go into a 'OMG, a STORM is coming several days from now I must immediately rush to the store and buy 27 years of French Toast supplies or 850 pounds of batteries NOW!" panic that excessively early PUBLIC reporting of these events inevitably seems to encourage among the lemmings masses out there.

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Good on ya.

I need to reevaluate mine since we 1) have fewer people at home and, 2) the college students took their fridges with them and I can get to the camping gear now.

I have to disagree with you over your assertion that these things are overhyped, though. As someone who works with adaptation to severe weather, I know full well that not nearly enough people are prepared to have their electricity, heat, and water/sewer off line, and many have no idea what surge zone they are in, either. I've been beating that drum hard in my city, since few people realize that only six hours separated us from the flooding we got from Sandy and utter mayhem (zone A and B flooding) - in fact, they don't understand that 1/3 of residents live in danger of a strong Cat 1 hurricane on a high tide!

MEMA Know Your Zone!

Aside from that, Massachusetts is a floody state that has been getting a lot floodier. A good place to start is with the flood zone maps. Helps to be prepared for specific hazards!

MassGIS flood zones (inland and coastal).

So, no, the problem isn't overreaction - it is a lack of specific direction toward appropriate reaction. I'm working hard on fixing that.

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