Early Tuesday morning. But the latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center shows Nate hitting us with sustained winds of less than 39 m.p.h., because it'll get to us by taking the land route, along the Appalachians, basically, and mountains generally weaken, if not outright destroy, hurricanes and tropical storms.
The National Weather Service has issued the watch for Plymouth County and points to the south as Jose approaches. On the one hand, no risk of tornadoes; on the other hand, people should "earnestly prepare for the potential of significant wind impacts."
James D. watched the show out at sea from Winthrop this afternoon.
Mike Anderson watched the remnants of Hurricane Irma pass over Logan late this afternoon.
Today, the folks at the Boston City Archives remind us, is the anniversary of the Boston landfall of the Gale of 1869, a small but powerful hurricane that did major damage to the new Boston Coliseum - built for a "peace jubilee" where Trinity Church and the Fairmont Copley Plaza sit now.
The National Weather Service has issued a flash-flood watch for eastern Massachusetts through tomorrow morning because of some heavy downpours we could get:
Hourly rainfall rates of 1 to 2 per hour will be possible with the strongest storms, which may lead to localized flash flooding if storms train over the same areas.
Still too early to say - Irma's still a week or so away from North America and hurricane forecasting that far out just isn't reliable - the computer models the National Hurricane Center uses don't yet agree on where it's heading. The latest National Hurricane Center discussion says there are some indications it might not turn into the Mega Killer Death Storm it seemed to be exploding into yesterday. Read more.